March Madness in June: An Analysis of the NCAA Tournament and Its Impact on the NBA Draft from 2004–2008

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March Madness in June: An Analysis of the NCAA Tournament and Its Impact on the NBA Draft from 2004–2008

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Title: March Madness in June: An Analysis of the NCAA Tournament and Its Impact on the NBA Draft from 2004–2008
Author: Thomas, Chaz
Advisor: Preston, Anne
Department: Haverford College. Dept. of Economics
Type: Thesis (B.A.)
Issue Date: 2009
Abstract: In 2006, the National Basketball Association and the National Basketball Players Association decided to adopt provisions which funnel most high school graduates into the college ranks. With so many talented players now entering the college ranks, the NCAA Division 1 Men’s Basketball Tournament raises its profile and attracts a variety of fans, including NBA scouts and personnel. This paper analyzes the probability of getting drafted as well as draft placement for all NCAA Division 1 Men’s Basketball players who formally declared for the NBA Draft from 2004–2008. The findings of this paper show that an increase in the difference in scoring between the regular season and the NCAA Tournament positively affects the probability of getting drafted, while also causing a player to be selected earlier in the NBA Draft. The data used in this paper also show that college seniors benefit greatly from increases in statistical production during the NCAA Tournament. Team level data analysis found that playing on a team that exceeds its expected number of NCAA Tournament wins also increases the probability of getting drafted and causes a player to be selected earlier in the NBA Draft. This paper concludes by suggesting possible extensions to the research and implications of this paper.
Subject: NCAA Basketball Tournament -- Econometric models
Subject: Basketball draft -- Econometric models
Terms of Use: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/3.0/us/
Permanent URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10066/3645

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Citation

Thomas, Chaz. "March Madness in June: An Analysis of the NCAA Tournament and Its Impact on the NBA Draft from 2004–2008". 2009. Available electronically from http://hdl.handle.net/10066/3645.

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